Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.187434 0.217617 0.251148 0.291170 0.337659 0.389985 0.453392
2025-04-27 0.142885 0.183869 0.234288 0.300935 0.386836 0.493998 0.638131
2025-05-04 0.119064 0.164434 0.224305 0.309218 0.426810 0.584327 0.812095
2025-05-11 0.101111 0.147897 0.213262 0.311440 0.455613 0.660298 0.974352
2025-05-18 0.086466 0.132901 0.201048 0.308610 0.474783 0.722892 1.123682
2025-05-25 0.073534 0.118118 0.186478 0.299255 0.481551 0.766261 1.247849
2025-06-01 0.066885 0.111875 0.183688 0.307078 0.515012 0.853503 1.450910
2025-06-08 0.060066 0.104283 0.177529 0.308193 0.537020 0.924065 1.634559
2025-06-15 0.055088 0.099036 0.174405 0.313667 0.566511 1.009830 1.854258
2025-06-22 0.048912 0.090843 0.165119 0.306949 0.573294 1.056263 2.008635
2025-06-29 0.044188 0.084644 0.158546 0.304142 0.586478 1.115107 2.192493
2025-07-06 0.040687 0.080275 0.154747 0.305920 0.608220 1.191862 2.419622
2025-07-13 0.038918 0.079111 0.157002 0.319973 0.656169 1.325749 2.780254
2025-07-20 0.036902 0.077220 0.157641 0.330932 0.699410 1.455838 3.151241
2025-07-27 0.034886 0.075059 0.157442 0.340046 0.739795 1.584644 3.536134
2025-08-03 0.032441 0.071680 0.154311 0.342493 0.766107 1.686738 3.875680
2025-08-10 0.029774 0.067488 0.148956 0.339378 0.779686 1.762639 4.165759
2025-08-17 0.026824 0.062308 0.140850 0.329078 0.775668 1.798694 4.367665
2025-08-24 0.025588 0.060899 0.140973 0.337690 0.816518 1.941879 4.844138
2025-08-31 0.023940 0.058321 0.138126 0.338918 0.839861 2.046653 5.239946
2025-09-07 0.022749 0.056698 0.137316 0.344945 0.875592 2.185247 5.739116
2025-09-14 0.020846 0.053103 0.131384 0.337549 0.876756 2.238722 6.024809
2025-09-21 0.019367 0.050401 0.127338 0.334458 0.888583 2.320445 6.396425